Texas Congressman Ron Paul scored a spectacular victory in New Hampshire, placing second in the 2012 state GOP Primary, further validating his claim of electability. His success is sure to be a thorn in the side of mainstream media pundits who have tried to suppress Dr. Paul’s candidacy. Media spin rooms will undoubtedly seek to downplay the significance of Paul’s victory, but the Ron Paul Revolution can no longer be ignored.
The Paul campaign has made great strides in New Hampshire since Paul’s run in 2008. Previously, Paul finished 5th out of 6 GOP candidates and found himself the object of ridicule by the likes of Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity. While these philosophically neo-conservative entertainers still mock Congressman Paul, they do not deny that he is a major force to be reckoned with inside the Republican party. In unspoken tribute to Dr. Paul, these hosts are today unwittingly advocating many of his policies that they previously laughed to scorn - such as ending the Federal Reserve and gutting various federal agencies.
Paul is seen favorably by Independents and cross-over Democrats who agree with him on his non-interventionist foreign policy and libertarian style, limited government philosophy. This cross-party appeal makes Paul a more threatening candidate to President Obama than Mitt Romney. Approximately 45% of New Hampshire Republicans identify themselves as either “moderate” or “liberal” and 77% of all NH Republicans identify themselves as “non-evangelical”. These demographics in the “Live Free or Die” state provided fertile soil for Paul’s libertarian message.
This election cycle, out of the state’s 10 counties, Paul focused primarily on the southeast, around the cities of Manchester and Portsmouth. This part of the state is home to many colleges. Youth and independent-minded voters flock to Ron Paul.
Rick Santorum had focused his attention on blue collar workers and Catholic conservatives in the south. These are the same demographics that helped Pat Buchanan score an upset victory over Bob Dole in the 1996 primary. This week the Paul campaign began airing blistering ads attacking the corrupt history of former senator Rick Santorum, hoping to pull back support the senator gained after his second place finish in Iowa.
With limited funds and a message that has failed to resonate elsewhere, Jon Huntsman staked his entire campaign on success in New Hampshire. Huntsman put the most money (more than $740,000) into television advertising, nearly double the next candidate. It remains to be seen whether or not his third place finish here will be enough to help him succeed anywhere else. Huntsman is widely assumed to be a one-state wonder. The former Utah governor is even currently trailing comedian Stephen Colbert in South Carolina polls.
With an endorsement from the influential Manchester Union Leader, Newt Gingrich surged in November – only to sink again in the polls. Gingrich’s strategy here was to try to slow Romney’s momentum going into South Carolina.
Rick Perry made the costly mistake of skipping New Hampshire. If he doesn’t place in the top three in South Carolina, his campaign is over.
New Hampshire was Romney territory. He owns a summer home in the state and has spent considerable time campaigning here since he lost to John McCain in 2008 by only 3 percentage points. Though first place went to Romney, a significant victory by Paul cannot be denied. He has risen from obscurity to become an unstoppable political powerhouse. Paul has already knocked off Michelle Bachmann, mortally wounded Rick Perry and pummeled Newt Gingrich back down from his November-December surge. It is recognized that, aside from Mitt Romney, Congressman Paul is the only candidate with the financial resources to wage a nationwide campaign at this point.
Consider Paul’s long-term strategy. He did extremely well in the Iowa Caucuses and placed second in New Hampshire. Admittedly, South Carolina is an early problem for Paul. Historically, South Carolinians favor politicians with aggressive foreign policy positions and who tend to inject religious overtones into their speeches. Though Paul is a committed Christian, he does not wear his religion on his sleeve for political advantage – and it has cost him some support. The most recent Real Clear Politics Average shows Ron Paul in a distant 4th place. However, he still has a week and a half before the SC Primary. His momentum coming out of Iowa and New Hampshire may be enough to boost him into 3rd place contention.
Ten days after South Carolina is the winner-take-all Florida Primary. With Paul trailing in 4th place, he has wisely chosen not to spend considerable time or money in the state. Instead, Paul has been working to build a strong organization in Nevada, another caucus state. Paul generally has performed better in caucus states compared to primary states. Fortunately for the Paul campaign, following the February 4th caucus in Nevada are caucuses in Maine, Colorado and Minnesota. There are three additional state primaries in February, followed by the Washington state caucus on March 3rd. Then comes infamous Super Tuesday, when 10 more states hold caucuses and primaries on March 6th. Beyond Super Tuesday, Paul’s campaign is the only viable alternative to Romney’s.
Following the results of the New Hampshire Primary, Paul’s National Campaign Chairman, Jesse Benton, called on the other candidates to drop out of the race and throw their support behind Ron Paul. He said:
“Ron Paul has won more votes in Iowa and New Hampshire than any candidate but Mitt Romney. Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have been shown in national polls to be the only two candidates who can defeat Barack Obama. And Ron Paul and Mitt Romney are the only two candidates who can run a full, national campaign, competing in state after state over the coming weeks and months. Ron Paul’s fundraising numbers — over $13 million this quarter — also prove he will be able to compete with Mitt Romney. No other candidate can do all of these things.
“Ron Paul is clearly the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney as the campaign goes forward. We urge Ron Paul’s opponents who have been unsuccessfully trying to be the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney to unite by getting out of the race and uniting behind Paul’s candidacy.”
Even if Paul were to ultimately lose the nomination, his winning strategy will have put him in the position of having a significant impact on forming the new party platform at the August 2012 Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida.
While the apportionment of convention delegates varies from one state caucus or primary to the next, Paul’s basic strategy is to earn enough delegates to stuff the convention with his supporters. As was thoroughly demonstrated in the 2008 cycle, Paul supporters are savvy in their knowledge of parliamentary rules and procedures. Paul’s delegates to the National Convention will capitalize on this knowledge to inject the Texas congressman’s constitutional-based philosophy into platform debate and plank development.
Paul is seeking to change the very heart of the Republican Party and return it to its conservative roots – less government and more personal liberty. While the mainstream media support coalesces around Mitt Romney, the voters of New Hampshire have sent a powerful message to America: the race is far from over. Ron Paul is on the rise.
If you liked this article, give it a “thumbs up” and share it using the Facebook link below!
Jake Morphonios has worked as a political consultant and campaign strategist for over two decades and is the author of “Organizing a Grassroots Political Machine”, used in the Steve Forbes 2000 Presidential campaign.
Other Articles by Jake Morphonios:Tweet
Latest posts by Jake Morphonios (see all)
- Obama’s Gun Grab is Underway | Operation Choke Point - May 19, 2014
- Shocking Details About CIA Asset Saddam Hussein - May 18, 2014
- Federal Reserve Secrets Revealed - November 24, 2013
- Ron Paul Trounces Santorum on Foreign Policy in CNN Debate - January 27, 2012
- Ron Paul Restores Definition of Conservative in Florida Debate - January 24, 2012
- Rand Paul's 'Police State' Showdown Reveals Secret Alarm Practices - January 23, 2012
- SC Debate Audience Protests CNN Effort to Censor Ron Paul - January 20, 2012
- Ron Paul Shines in SC Debate, Despite Fox News Antics - January 17, 2012
- New Hampshire to America: Ron Paul is Electable - January 10, 2012
- Huge Victory for Ron Paul in New Hampshire Debate - January 8, 2012
- The Real Dirt on Slick Rick Santorum - January 7, 2012
- The Basics of Constitutional Foreign Policy – Part 2 - January 6, 2012
- Ron Paul Gaining Quickly on Romney in NH Polls - January 6, 2012
- The Basics of Constitutional Foreign Policy – Part 1 - January 5, 2012
- Exchange with Paul Nearly Ends Perry Campaign - January 4, 2012
- Ron Paul Knocks Off Michelle Bachmann - January 4, 2012
- Ron Paul Victorious in Iowa - January 4, 2012
- Is Ron Paul the Reincarnation of Grover Cleveland? - December 21, 2011
- Meghan McCain and Ron Paul - December 21, 2011
- Ron Paul Hammers Bachmann on Iran - December 17, 2011
- Ron Paul's Shot at Victory - December 16, 2011
- Ron Paul Attacked Over Newsletters - December 16, 2011
- Ron Paul Lands Punches in ABC Debate - December 11, 2011
- Ron Paul Warns of Coming Global Meltdown - December 10, 2011
- The Serial Adultery of Newt Gingrich - December 9, 2011
- Ron Paul vs Sean Hannity on Foreign Policy - August 12, 2010
- Ron Paul: Arrest and Deport Illegal Immigrants - August 6, 2010
- Ron Paul on Gay Marriage Legislation - August 4, 2010
- Ron Paul Tries to Prevent War with Red China - August 3, 2010
- Throw the Bums Out in 2010 - August 2, 2010
- The Great Custody & Child Support Scam - February 24, 2009
- Parental Child Abduction – Lesson 2 - February 23, 2009
- Parental Child Abduction – Lesson 1 - February 18, 2009
- False Child Sex Abuse Allegations – Lesson 4 - February 16, 2009
- The Slippery Slope of Internet Pornography Addiction - February 13, 2009
- Divorce & Child Custody Tactics for Women - December 4, 2008
- John McCain – Love at the Royal Hawaiian Hotel - October 16, 2008
- Post-Divorce Parenting for Men - October 15, 2008
- Preparing Teenagers for the Challenges of Life: A Critical Evaluation of Common Resources - September 2, 2008
- In Memory of All the Dead Fathers - March 26, 2008
- False Child Sex Abuse Allegations – Lesson 3 - March 24, 2008
- Ron Paul Issues Statement on Iraq War - March 20, 2008
- False Child Sex Abuse Allegations – Lesson 2 - March 20, 2008
- False Child Sex Abuse Allegations – Lesson 1 - March 18, 2008
- Jesse Ventura Confirms Consideration of Presidential Run in 08 - March 14, 2008
- Statistics from the War on Children - March 14, 2008
- Ron Paul Web Site Returns to Life - March 10, 2008
- Ron Paul’s Meeting with Rogue Farmers - March 10, 2008
- Ron Paul Attacks Obama on CNN - March 10, 2008
- President Grover Cleveland Agrees with Congressman Ron Paul - March 6, 2008
- Can the Ron Paul Revolution Thwart Kruschev’s Prophecy? - March 6, 2008
- Ron Paul Campaign in Chaos - March 5, 2008
- Huckabee Quits, McCain Seals Nomination, Paul to Concede? - March 4, 2008
- Ron Paul vs a Third Term for George W. Bush - February 29, 2008
- Ron Paul, John McCain and Adultery - February 28, 2008
- Obama Rips McCain – Ron Paul Style! - February 27, 2008
- McCentury Tries to Take Back 100 YEARS Remark - February 27, 2008
- US Family Court Complicit in the Deaths of Three Children - February 27, 2008
- John McCain Mocks Ron Paul Supporters - February 19, 2008
- The Nuclear Option: False Child Sexual Abuse Allegations in Custody Disputes - February 18, 2008
- Ron Paul Establishes Freedom March Exploratory Committee - February 15, 2008
- Ron Paul: the Candidate of Choice Among Military Personnel - February 14, 2008
- The Shroud of the War Machine - February 14, 2008
- How to Write a Powerful Letter to Congress - February 14, 2008
- The Federal Scheme to Destroy Father-Child Relationships - February 13, 2008
- The Republican Plot to Steal Paul’s Seat in Congress - February 11, 2008
- Ron Paul, GOD and the Constitution - February 8, 2008
- Why Mormons Should Support Ron Paul - February 8, 2008
- “Jane Roe” Endorses Ron Paul on 35th Anniversary of Roe v. Wade - January 22, 2008
- Ron Paul Sounds the Call to Arms - January 16, 2008
- What Ron Paul Supporters Need to Know about Martin Luther King Jr. Day - January 15, 2008
- Reasons Why Ron Paul Opposes a National ID Card - January 15, 2008
- The Answer to Your Question, Mr. Limbaugh, is Ron Paul. - January 15, 2008
- Ron Paul vs President Bush on Foreign Policy - January 10, 2008
- A Post-New Hampshire Strategy for Ron Paul’s Success - January 9, 2008
- What New Hampshire Results Mean for Ron Paul - January 9, 2008
- The Ron Paul Newsletters – Part 2 - January 8, 2008
- The Ron Paul Newsletters – Part 1 - January 8, 2008
- Ron Paul: Principled Leadership - January 8, 2008
- Fight For Ron Paul and Liberty! - January 4, 2008