Iran's display of power puts them in more of a problem situation than a voice of fear. by Frank Brooks
(libertarian)
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Skeptics tried to put me down on my view of the Iranian nuclear power program. Well now they may have to reconsider the facts. The first nuclear reactor is powered, and it hasn't been a day that Iran has announced they have been testing a drone bomber. I understand they demonstrate fear tactics like they did once before testing short range ballistic missiles. Still this is not something we can look at like a joke. Iran is serious, and may make a nut ball attack at any time or even make severe threats. I expect the threats and they will come sooner or later. They will make a speech about how powerful they are with what they have invested in. It won't be any different than North Korea. They may even have a nuclear weapons test of the same measure proving they are in the nuclear weapons club. I do believe they will have at least one nuke in their arsenal but not many more than that.
I have just uncovered that despite Iran's quest for the atom they really are not on good grounds with the Arab world. Actually if they were to do anything extreme the other Arab nations would be happy to see them take the fall for it. I thought it was because of tensions between Sunni and Shia Muslims but Pakistan has the same view of Iran. Pakistan is predominately a Shia Muslim nation and shares the same opinions as the Sunni nations about Iran. Iran is like a middle child seeking revenge from neglect. To their dismay the other big Shia Muslim nations are not as close as anyone would believe. Iran is poised on being a Russian ally for the present time and it's about money. Russia needs whatever extra scratch they can make so they are obligated to help an oil asset advance into the nuclear age.
Iran should be watched with concern of a derelict attack but would they be foolish enough to strike? They have been poking in the Straight of Hormuz defining a reason that they may be a problem at any given time. What is ignorant on their part is they might make a move on a territorial dispute, and cause unwanted tensions with a nation they are not prepared to face. What stand will they have then if they seize a vessel of unknown origin that is prepared to deliver a response considering that as an act of war? Are they going to threaten nuclear force at that time? Or will they try to administer foreign diplomacy as a nation of peace?
Iran is unstable and no matter what Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says he still has to answer to the Khomeini rule. If foul play were to take place it would be a royal and religious decision. So what do we have now a nuclear reactor operated under religious right? What is the purpose of this "Death Bomber", and why is it so important to be mentioned so shortly after a nuclear success? Propaganda of terror is easily related and not taken any other way. After all of the insurgents that have crossed into Iraq do we expect them to challenge any force head on? The answer is no because it would be a mistake for Iran to do so, and what they seek is any possible threat they can implement without formal confrontation. As far as the art of war they are what you would consider a nation of denial and lies. "We had nothing to do with it" is what they would say even if that is what they intended. They don't want a war but they want to start one and fuel one any way they can. A war for Iran would be a horrible mess with a majority of the nation being against it. They are in ridicule of their own people who desire no conflict by any means. The Iranian military is only a small part of what threat they do display and the present support they have is not what the country wants. Be it a reactor, "Death Bomber", ballistic missile or even a grenade Iran should be leery of making any drastic moves. It could cause another civil uprising within the nation.
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