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Apathy Falls
columnist: Mitch W

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Topic: Ron Paul
Independents, late decisions give Paul hope

Over the past few days, Ron Paul has polled between eight and 14 percent in New Hampshire. Aside from the usual gripes about the poll numbers, there are other reasons to hold high hopes.
by Mitch W
(Libertarian)
Tuesday, January 8, 2008

According to the final Rasmussen poll for New Hampshire, Ron Paul had 8 percent of the GOP vote. This was tied for fourth with Rudy Giuliani and trailed Mike Huckabee by just two points (in a poll with an error of -/+ 3%).

Based on those conventional numbers, it seems that Paul would be reasonable to hope for a third place finish tonight. But it gets better. According to CNN's election center, New Hampshire has 850,836 registered voters. Of the group, 30% are Republicans and just 26% are Democrats.

What does this mean?

It means that the remaining 44% of New Hampshire voters are independent. And with early claims of 500,000 primary voters, that means that there could be over 200,000 independent voters at the polls today.

As far as the Republican field goes, this could be good news for Paul, who stands out as the only candidate not spewing the current party line.

Another good sign for Paul is that early exit polls have shown that about 14% of voters decided who they would vote for just today. This comes the night after Paul reached 4-5 million people via the Tonight Show.

We can only hope that those undecided independents caught Paul last night and have opened their eyes. The momentum of this revolution may currently reside in the hands of a few hundred thousand free-thinking east-coasters who believe what every good American should: Live Free or Die.

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©2008 Mitch W, all rights reserved. You must have written permission from the author in order to republish this work.
Published: Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Last modified: Tuesday, January 8, 2008

The views expressed in this article are those of Mitch W only and do not represent the views of Nolan Chart, LLC or its affiliates. Mitch W is solely responsible for the contents of this article and is not an employee or otherwise affiliated with Nolan Chart, LLC in his/her role as a columnist.

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Reader Comments:

Posted By: Kerry Welsh
Date: 2008-01-09 08:44:53

New Hampshire was a bummer, no doubt, for us Paul supporters.

However, there is a still a positive spin to it all.

If you combine the Iowa and NH vote totals, Ron Paul has received 29,648 total votes, compared with 24,151 votes for Giuliani and 18,712 votes for Thompson.

That puts Ron Paul comfortably in 4th place, with 22% more votes than Rudy Giuliani and a whopping 58% more votes than Fred Thompson!

The spreadsheet numbers are below.

                                              
                  IOWA             NH            TOTAL VOTES          PERCENT
Romney      29,949          73,806         103,755          30.0%
McCain       15,559          86,802         102,361          29.6%
Huckabee    40,841          26,035          66,876          19.4%
Paul            11,817          17,831          29,648          8.6%
Giuliani         4,097          20,054           24,151          7.0%
Thompson   15,904           2,808            18,712          5.4%

In a field of six strong candidates, Ron Paul is in 4th place, proving beyond a doubt that he is indeed a top-tier candidate.

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Posted By: Avner Eliyahu Romm
Date: 2008-01-09 09:14:18

I wish Ron Paul good luck. May he win, please God, and may he bring the US back to the good old days, when it was the land of the free and the home of the brave, as it was during WW2.

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Posted By: Iconoclast421
Date: 2008-01-09 15:18:37

Go to google news and type in "sibel edmonds"

Note the amount of coverage the story has gotten. Congratulations you've just figured out 90% of the problems in america.... totalmedia domination by anti-american interests.

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