You do find it amusing that Ron Paul gets so little media attention because of his national poll standing? Or do you find it frustrating? Probably not the latter. But I do want to write about the "inconvient" truth about the polls and the internet and why it is completely asinine to use them as an excuse to figure out how much face time canidates get.
According to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_general_elections,_2006 the turnout for voters in 2006 was 36.8%! That number was 80,975,537 people. 44.1 % were Republicans and that number is 35,674,808.
If the MSM are taking a "sampling" of this pool of Republicans who voted last election cycle, then the 4.4% average according to "Real Clear Politics" that Dr. Paul is pulling turns out to be 1,426,992.32 people. Thats more people then the amount of votes he got back in 1988.
But as far as "Accurate" polling, thats as far as it goes. These polls do not reflect the other factors that come into play:
1. The amount of people newly registered as republicans this year (And I am one of them, and not a damn person has polled me!)
2. The amount of people registered as Independants, Democrats, Libertarian, Constitution, Green, Progressive, etc who support him. (though this group won't have as much of an impact on the primaries as would the new Republicans because some states don't have open primaries like mines in Florida)
In my humble opinion, the internet isn't a good source to judge how much support he has either. You can cite meetups, myspace, facebook, comments whatever they mean nothing due to the fact that the internet is largely an autonomous interface. Spammers can easily ruin the the rest I mentioned (Yes they exist.. had one on my first article last night show up. Saw the same damn thing in few other places). The sites telling us that he has the most search hits doesn't mean in the concrete sense that its a genuine amount of people. Proxy Servers from ISP's and different networks act as a "face" for those IP's from your computers. So you really can't tell by these means in my opinion. Some might disagree but they are entilted to it.
But, I do believe, and this is a strong indicator of support, is his fund raising. Supporters set the record for online donations on Nov 5th. He has 11.4 million on his website (not including non-internet donations.. those come up at the end of the quarter), and last but not least, the mighty Blimp! Come Dec 17th, I am confident we will raise a huge amount over night. I don't know how much, I won't speculate but I have a feeling its going to be big. I also would like to point out, he has the most finacial support of Active Duty Military Personnel then any other canidate!
To sum up everything: The Polls are a poor excuse to base efforts of air time on (MSM = Failure), The internet is great comunication/research tool but not very sincere in its appearences (Damn you autonomy!), and last but most certainly not least... Money Talks! Look to where the money is and you will know who is getting the support. Dr. Paul always won his seats because he gets his money from supporters, not PACS or bundlers, but real people. Research it yourself and see what I am talking about!
I hope this article was up lifting to your spirits, I was not frowning when I learned about all this, I was very optimistic and still am about Dr. Paul. Cheers!
©2007 Jase, all rights reserved. You must have written permission from the author in order to republish this work.
Published: Friday, December 14, 2007
Last modified: Friday, December 14, 2007
The views expressed in this article are those of Jase only and do not represent the views of Nolan Chart, LLC or its affiliates. Jase is solely responsible for the contents of this article and is not an employee or otherwise affiliated with Nolan Chart, LLC in his/her role as a columnist.
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Reader Comments:
Posted By: Steve
Date: 2007-12-14 09:13:34
It's Dec 16th, not 17th
Posted By: Jase
Date: 2007-12-14 20:07:19
Yea but its the 17th when its all said and done and when people will see the end result.